Archive for November, 2006

Apple in danger of missing estimated Macbook Sales?

This story from Powerpage caught my interest:

“Apple may be doing better than expected with its recently released version of its Intel Core 2 Duo-based laptop, according to a report from Chinese publication Commercial Times. The report cites that 300,000 MacBooks will likely be sold in November alone according to build orders provided to Taiwanese manufacturing partner Asustek. Apple could easily ship 1,000,000 MacBooks for the December quarter at this rate.

The report also added that Asustek’s shipments dropped for October since Apple was in the process of transitioning the MacBook to the faster Core 2 Duo processor.

Analysts have predicted that Apple will ship between 1.6 and 1.8 million MacBooks for the December quarter according to AppleInsider.”

Ummmmm….. Did anybody else gather that Apple might miss their sales estimate from this article?

You learn that:

  1. analysts expect them to sell 1.6 million books
  2. they sold only 300,000 in November
  3. and that shipments slowed in October.

Sounds like Apple needs to have a blockbuster December (even for them) in order to hit the set mark. This is bad news for a stock that was at $66 at the beginning of September and is now in the low 90s. With that type of swing, any bad news could send their share price down significantly.

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Zune vs. Ipod Mentions

Thought I would take a quick look and see how many iPod mentions in the New Media differ versus Zune mentions since the Zune debuted today.

Ipod vs Zune

This graph shows the difference in iPod vs Zune mentions for the last 5 days (including today). iPod, predictably , always has more mentions but I find it interesting to view the change in the gap between the mentions. Recently, due to the imminent release of Zune, that gap has diminished. What is interesting though is that on the day Zune’s release, today, the gap has actually increased from the previous three days.

Can this bode well for the Zune?

Update: Sorry for the blurry graph. For reference, the last day in the graph is Tuesday, November 14th or the release date of Zune

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Xbox Live Video

A couple of days ago, I pulled together an analysis of the New Media’s reaction to the Xbox’s VOD service for a customer. While I can’t show you the whole thing, I thought a watered down version would be interesting as well. By the way, my personal opinion is that while this a big PR event for Microsoft, it will not have any immediate impact. People don’t trust Microsoft (like me) and it seems there are immediate convenience issues that will preclude owners of an Xbox from using it (download time and space constraints). The HD compatibility thing is pretty cool though.

Anyway, on to the piece:

Conclusions

This is was arguably the biggest story in the blogosphere for the 7th, and many bloggers gave credit to Microsoft for being first to market with a Video On Demand service instead of Apple, especially since it supports HD as well.

Not all commentary was positive, however. Many, like influential tech blog GigaOm, did not consider this an instant success for Microsoft, and they voiced concerns over the capacity of the Xbox 360, the speed of downloads, and the marketing of this service.

Relevant/ Interesting Links

Engadget has screen shots.
Interesting comments by the New Media:

Thomas Hawk on what this means for Apple: “And meanwhile Apple still flounders around having made no meaningful commitment to HDTV and instead is going to try and sell you the iDongle. But if the iDongle doesn’t do HDTV and the XBox does, then the iDongle is dead in the water.”

Blackfriars’ Marketing on the marketing weakness of Xbox Live Video: “However, as regular readers know, technology rarely creates commercial success without smart marketing, and some of the marketing positioning of this service seems flawed. My bet is that the XBox hard drive size is a near fatal constraint on the popularity of the service, since it can only store 10 TV shows or three movies at a time.”

Michael Gartenberg on future implications for iTunes: “It’s not a direct competitor to iTunes for now. But, there’s no doubt that XBox, as a conncted device that’s hooked up a to the TV will be important for Microsoft as a core endpoint in the digital home. Look for larger drive capacities as well as integration with Zune and the PC in the not too distant future.”

GigaOm on wether Microsoft can overcome its past: That’s not to mention Microsoft’s past history with digital rights management extremism4 with the Xbox, already onerous when it comes to ripping music files, which will surely grow even more strict, when the MPAA brings its attorneys into play. A service that isn’t as seamless as ITunes (of for that matter, YouTube), is destined to failure.”

Other Sources:
Hacking Netflix
Paid Content.org
Paul Thurrott
IP Democracy

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Ipod 2G Shuffle Reviews Link Dump

My new shuffle is working out great! Though I will admit the size of it still shocks me.

But don’t ta2 G Shuffleke my word for it. Take theirs:

CNET Video Review
iFixit.com
iLounge
PC Magazine
iPodTips
PC World
Reg Hardware
Mobility Sites
SuperSite for Windows
As The Apple Turns
Cult Of Mac
PowerPage
Mac Observer
Playlist Mag
ehMac
Apple Blog

I am sure there are a plethora of reviews that I missed, but this gets the point across. The 2G shuffle is a winner.

The consumer seems to be agreeing as well. Check out this LoopRumors post confirming the high demand.

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